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23.01.2025 06:18 PM
IA de US$ 500 bilhões, recorde da Netflix e apoio de Pequim: As surpresas do mercado hoje

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Índices de Wall Street atingem recordes graças aos investimentos em Netflix e IA

Os índices de ações dos EUA apresentaram ganhos sólidos na quarta-feira, com o S&P 500 registrando uma nova alta intradiária. Os principais impulsionadores da dinâmica positiva foram os fortes resultados financeiros da Netflix e o ambicioso plano de investimentos de Donald Trump, que visa desenvolver a infraestrutura de inteligência artificial.

Tecnologia lidera o caminho

O setor de tecnologia registrou um ganho impressionante de 2,5%, liderando os 11 principais setores do S&P 500. O aumento foi impulsionado pelos ganhos das gigantes da IA Nvidia e Microsoft, cujas ações subiram acentuadamente na sessão.

Netflix inspira o mercado

A Netflix subiu 9,7% com o crescimento recorde de assinantes durante a temporada de férias. Os resultados permitiram que a gigante do streaming anunciasse aumentos de preços na maioria de seus planos, reforçando ainda mais a confiança dos investidores em seu futuro.

AI in the Spotlight

Investors were enthusiastic after Donald Trump announced a major investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure. The new plan would see the private sector invest $500 billion, with major players including Oracle, OpenAI, and SoftBank taking part. However, the details of how the project will be funded remain unclear.

Setores que lideraram e perderam

Com os serviços de tecnologia e comunicações ganhando 1,1% no dia, outros setores tiveram um desempenho mais modesto. O setor de serviços públicos foi o maior perdedor, com perda de 2,2%.

Principais participantes com ganhos

As ações da Oracle subiram 6,8%, enquanto a ARM Holdings, uma subsidiária da SoftBank e um participante importante no desenvolvimento de chips, subiu impressionantes 15,9%. A Dell, fabricante de hardware para servidores, também apresentou um crescimento constante, aumentando 3,6%.

Os resultados de quarta-feira mostraram que o investimento em inovação e a confiança em tecnologias futuras continuam sendo os principais impulsionadores para os investidores, e os mercados estão prontos para apoiar a tendência de inteligência artificial e soluções de alta tecnologia.

Wall Street continua subindo: mercados demonstram confiança

O S&P 500, o Nasdaq e o Dow Jones foram novamente o centro das atenções na quarta-feira, continuando sua tendência de alta. Os principais índices mostraram um crescimento confiante devido aos dados econômicos positivos, à diminuição das pressões inflacionárias e à abordagem cautelosa do presidente Trump em relação às tarifas.

Novo salto para os índices

O S&P 500 adicionou 37,13 pontos (+0,61%), encerrando o dia em 6086,37. Embora o índice tenha ficado apenas alguns pontos abaixo de seu nível recorde de fechamento de 1.090,27, estabelecido em dezembro, sua dinâmica continua a inspirar os investidores.

O Nasdaq Composite subiu com confiança 252,56 pontos (+1,28%) para 20009,34, rompendo pela primeira vez a importante barreira psicológica de 20 mil pontos.

O Dow Jones Industrial Average aumentou 130,92 pontos (+0,30%) e atingiu 44156,73.

O que está alimentando o apetite pelo risco?

Os investidores estão demonstrando otimismo devido a uma série de fatores:

  • Indicadores econômicos sólidos. A melhoria dos dados macroeconômicos cria uma base sólida para um maior crescimento do mercado;
  • A inflação está caindo. A desaceleração do crescimento dos preços está acalmando as preocupações dos participantes do mercado;
  • Uma abordagem suave para as tarifas comerciais. Apesar dos temores iniciais, Donald Trump está adotando uma abordagem cautelosa nas negociações comerciais.

Entretanto, os comerciantes continuam cautelosos. O presidente já advertiu que as tarifas sobre as importações da China, México, Canadá e UE poderiam ser introduzidas já em 1º de fevereiro. Essa declaração forçou os analistas a revisar suas previsões para o próximo trimestre.

Key dates on the horizon

Donald Trump has ordered federal agencies to prepare comprehensive trade reviews by April 1. According to Barclays experts, this date will be a critical benchmark for markets. If trade rhetoric intensifies, we can expect serious swings in investor sentiment.

Leaders and losers of the day

Among individual companies, Procter & Gamble's report was a pleasant surprise. Shares of the consumer goods giant rose 1.9% after the company beat expectations for the second quarter. Demand for household products in the U.S. remains strong, supporting P&G's earnings.

Meanwhile, Johnson & Johnson was overshadowed. Despite the fact that the pharmaceutical giant showed results above expectations, shares fell 1.9%. Analysts attribute this to expectations of further pressure on the company in the face of increased competition in the sector.

Looking ahead

Markets are in a state of anticipation: participants are watching new statements from the White House and the outcome of trade negotiations. At the same time, positive signals from companies such as Netflix and Procter & Gamble give grounds for optimism. As before, investors are ready to bet on the development of technology, growth in consumer demand and the adaptability of the economy in the face of global challenges.

Markets are mixed, stocks fall, futures lose ground

After an impressive rally earlier in the week, sentiment in the markets has begun to change. Declines in individual stocks, disappointing forecasts and weakness in futures signal investor caution.

Stocks are falling: what happened?

Ford was in the spotlight, losing 3.8% of its value after Barclays downgraded the stock. The decision was linked to expectations of a slowdown in the automaker's growth amid ongoing challenges in the industry.

Textron also disappointed the market, with shares falling 3.4% after it issued a 2025 profit forecast that was below analysts' expectations.

Halliburton was another loser, with shares of the oilfield services giant falling 3.6% after warning of weak activity in the North American market and publishing a downbeat quarterly report.

Stock Market Performance

Investor sentiment remained largely negative on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), with 1.55 shares falling for every one that advanced. At the same time, 271 new highs and 57 new lows were recorded, highlighting the mixed bag of trends.

Global Markets Slow Down

Global stocks, which had been rallying on the back of Donald Trump's ambitious AI infrastructure plans, began to lose momentum on Thursday. While optimism is fading, Chinese markets managed to stand out thanks to Beijing's support.

Enthusiasm over the huge investment in AI infrastructure is gradually giving way to realistic expectations, as investors begin to consider the risks and uncertainties associated with the implementation of such projects.

Futures Down

European and US stock futures point to a weak open.

  • EUROSTOXX 50 down 0.23%;
  • FTSE down 0.3%;
  • Nasdaq down 0.17%;
  • S&P 500 down 0.09%.

These data reflect a continued cautious mood among investors, who are analyzing the possible consequences of changing market factors.

Looking ahead

Current market dynamics indicate that investors are focusing on macroeconomic data, corporate reports and statements from world leaders. Forecasts for key companies and earnings expectations, combined with global economic uncertainty, will play an important role in shaping future trends.

Despite isolated signs of a slowdown, the market continues to demonstrate resilience, and the long-term outlook for key sectors remains attractive.

Trump's plans and China's actions: markets at a crossroads

Global markets continue to react to key initiatives and statements that shape investor sentiment. Donald Trump's announcement of a colossal $500 billion investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure was a huge boost, but by Thursday the optimism was waning.

AI in Focus

Trump's proposal includes giants such as Oracle, OpenAI and SoftBank, underscoring the seriousness of his intentions. The news initially sent a wave of enthusiasm through global stock markets. Indexes in the US and Europe, including the pan-European STOXX 600 and the US S&P 500, had hit new records in previous sessions.

However, the euphoria was overshadowed by other statements from the president: plans to impose a 10% tariff on Chinese imports have caused tension and introduced an element of uncertainty.

Asian Markets: A Short-Term Surge

The MSCI index, which tracks stocks in the Asia-Pacific region (excluding Japan), ended a seven-day rally and was down 0.15% on Thursday. The morning gains, triggered by Beijing's new measures to support the market, failed to hold until the end of the trading session.

China Takes Action Against Pressure

Faced with threats from the US, China has taken its own steps to stabilize its stock market. The government has announced plans to channel hundreds of billions of yuan through state-owned insurers to support stocks.

These moves have had an effect: indexes in China have shown modest gains. The blue-chip CSI300 Index rose 0.19%, while the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.53%. However, some of these gains were lost by the end of the session, highlighting the continuing nervousness of market participants.

Mixed Signals

Trump's investment plan has sparked enthusiasm in global markets, but tensions over tariffs on Chinese imports are becoming a restraining factor. Beijing, in turn, has demonstrated a willingness to protect its economic interests, which has helped temporarily strengthen the position of Chinese indexes.

The question of whether Trump's AI initiative can offset the potential fallout from a tariff war remains open.

Global markets are at a crossroads. Investors are weighing the potential of major AI initiatives, but are also keeping an eye on the risks associated with a tightening trade relationship. Macroeconomic data, corporate earnings, and international trade developments will be key drivers in the coming days.

Markets under pressure: China faces challenges, Trump tariffs raise tensions

Global markets continue to react to economic and political challenges. While Asian indices are mixed, China faces economic challenges, exacerbated by external threats from US tariffs.

Hong Kong and China: Economic Anxiety

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 0.6%, reflecting continued investor concerns about the economic situation in China. Alvin Tan, head of Asian FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets, said weak Chinese stock returns and falling bond yields are indicators of domestic challenges. "China is increasingly dependent on net exports for growth, and if the US ratchets up tariff pressure, these problems will only get worse," Tan said.

Japan on the Rise

Meanwhile, Japan's Nikkei Index rose 0.8%. SoftBank shares were among the leaders, soaring 5%. The reason was the announcement of a joint project with OpenAI called Stargate AI. According to sources, each of the parties will allocate $19 billion to finance the initiative, which strengthened investor confidence in the Japanese conglomerate.

FX: Stability after Turbulence

Movement in FX markets was relatively subdued after the instability caused by Donald Trump's plans to impose tariffs. The US President confirmed the possibility of 25% duties on Mexican and Canadian imports by February 1, which caused tension among market participants.

The US dollar index remained near a two-week low, ending the day at 108.26.

  • Euro stabilises at $1.0408;
  • Pound sterling edged up to $1.2318.

China's yuan weakened to 7.2812 per dollar on the domestic market, reflecting investor concerns about the country's economy.

Tariff threats: a new frontier of tension

Along with threats against China, Trump continues to increase pressure on other countries. Potential tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, which could reach 25%, are adding to the nervousness. Experts say such measures could slow down global trade, exacerbating existing uncertainty.

Outlook

Asian markets remain under pressure, balancing optimism over tech initiatives with concerns over rising trade tensions. Investors are focused on what the US and China will do next, and whether initiatives from major companies such as SoftBank and OpenAI can support market resilience. As tensions mount, markets are likely to remain volatile, awaiting the outcome of trade policy and decisions by major economic players.

Markets frozen in anticipation: dollar rises, oil falls

Financial markets are showing caution amid upcoming central bank decisions and global economic risks. The dollar continues to strengthen, while commodity markets remain under pressure, reflecting the nervousness of participants.

Dollar vs. yen: expectations strengthen positions

The American currency reached a one-week high against the yen, rising to 156.76. This rise is associated with expectations of a decision by the Bank of Japan, which may raise the rate by 25 basis points on Friday. Investors have already priced this into quotes, but attention is focused on the regulator's statement, which may provide more insight into the future course of monetary policy.

Bancos centrais: Foco na Noruega

O Norges Bank anunciará sua decisão sobre a taxa de juros ainda nesta quinta-feira. Os especialistas esperam que o banco central norueguês mantenha seus principais parâmetros inalterados, indicando como as economias menores estão respondendo aos desafios globais.

Mercados de Commodity: Tarifas atingem o petróleo

Os preços mundiais do petróleo caíram em meio à ameaça de Donald Trump de novas tarifas. A proposta de impor tarifas adicionais alimentou preocupações sobre uma desaceleração do crescimento econômico global, o que, por sua vez, poderia reduzir a demanda por energia.

  • O Brent caiu 0,41%, para $78,68 por barril;
  • O WTI caiu 0,45%, para $75,10 por barril.

Os participantes do mercado estão preocupados com o impacto das possíveis restrições comerciais nas cadeias de suprimentos globais e na dinâmica da demanda.

Ouro permanece estável

Em meio à volatilidade nos mercados de moedas e commodities, o preço à vista do ouro permanece estável. Uma onça do metal precioso ainda custa $2.754,49. Esse valor reflete o comportamento cauteloso dos investidores que veem o ouro como um ativo seguro em caso de aumento da instabilidade.

Os mercados estão em um estado de expectativa, analisando o impacto tanto das decisões monetárias quanto das possíveis mudanças tarifárias. O foco continua sendo as ações dos bancos centrais, especialmente do Banco do Japão, bem como os próximos passos do governo Trump.

Para os mercados de commodities, os dados de oferta e demanda serão fatores-chave, bem como o desenvolvimento das negociações comerciais. Enquanto os investidores permanecerem cautelosos, a volatilidade poderá persistir durante a semana.

Thomas Frank,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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