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13.03.2025 07:15 PM
AUD/JPY: 分析與預測
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AUD/JPY貨幣對正受到壓力,目前吸引了新的賣盤,接近94.00這一週高的整數關口。隨之而來的是穩定的下跌,現貨價格跌破下一個整數關口93.00,似乎中止了從2024年8月水平的兩天反彈。

市場狀況主要是由於預期日本央行可能再度加息推動的。此外,對美國積極關稅政策的經濟後果的擔憂正在增加對避險日元的需求。同時,美中貿易戰進一步升級的風險也在對澳元施壓,對AUD/JPY貨幣對產生負面影響。

技術角度看,接近50日簡單移動平均線(SMA)和振盪指標在負值區域的兩個月低點表明,目前最少阻力的路徑仍然是向下。進一步的疲弱將導致92.00的整數關口和接近91.80的多月低點。對澳洲儲備銀行(RBA)進一步降息的預期也支持這種看跌的前景。

另一方面,任何反彈都會遇到93.70附近,而後是週高94.00整數關口的阻力。若突破此水平,將為進一步攀上月高94.70-94.75區間和返回心理關口95.00鋪路。如果AUD/JPY貨幣對能夠突破50日SMA,這將是一個關鍵時刻,短期偏向將轉向多頭。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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